The USA Intelligence in 2030 - Essay Example

USA Intelligence 2030 Presentation Text As the process of globalisation continues around the world, it will be significantly affecting the balance of power between nations and this will inevitably affect while creating the new frontier for international conflicts. The area technological advancement will pose a great threat to the world at large. Development of disruptive technology will pose the biggest challenge to intelligence organisations. By the year 2030, globalisation will have adversely affected the measures and ways nation defend themselves. The country will not be defenceless, but the dynamic nature of globalisation suggests that intelligence measures by the government agencies will not yield a perfect solution. Intelligence measures by the government of the United States will form part the various tactics introduced in an attempt to elicit not only the planned but also the unanticipated consequences and responses. Exploits in communication technology have made knowledge and information sharing to be seamless. With the enhanced and faster communication, the world is adapting to changes at a very high rate. While it will be difficult to control what people reads, watches and share amongst themselves online, intelligence agencies will play an important role in shaping the media space and the information policies in the nation. They will play a major role in establishing the legal, technical, and political framework that will shape the shape the mode through which information flows. Individual empowerment is set to pose a threat to the American intelligence community in the next decades. People will have access to bioterror weapon, advanced cyber techniques and instrument. In addition, people may have access to precision strike weapons and this will give them the capacity to perpetrate a large scale violence. Advancement in the field of information science will negatively affect the covert operations by the United States intelligence agencies. The advancement of the human identification technologies will make it harder for agents to conceal their real identity. By the year 2030, Biometric Technology will be embraced for identification purposes, hence with the accuracy that the technology provides will make efforts to conceal identity fruitless. Even though advances in the field of information technology will make transmission of information easier but more difficult to control and monitor capital inflows into the United states economy. Inevitably, the government will have to come up with measures of control and closure. Financial deregulation will be motivated by the American government pursuit of its perceived national interests. In the coming years, the world will experience a substantial reduction in poverty. The middle-class population across the globe is growing at a fast rate. With the growth in the global economies, more people will be seeking education and job opportunities in the developed united states. Increased immigrant applicants are set to provide the American intelligence with the challenge of identifying the legitimate immigrant. Diffusion of power amongst nations will have a great impact on the American intelligence. With the growing economy, China is set to surpass the USA in terms of military spending and covert operation. Although the USA is undeniably the unchallenged global superpower in terms of military strength, the government is nonetheless burdened by fiscal debts in addition to huge trade imbalances. Globalisation can be argued to produce a diminishing in power, autonomy and the influence of sovereign states. Globalization will reshape the nature of conflict as well as the styles and pattern of political violence both organised and spontaneous. A powerful economy like the US will not face challenges attributable to countries with modest economies. USA will remain a political powerhouse. In essence, by the year 2030, the mainstream culture of the USA will be will be spread throughout the world. By the fact that the nations market are run on a free enterprise system, opportunities for legitimate business enterprises will be more and integrated into the international market. This will curtail expansion of the illicit trade. The economy will not be eroded the capacity to prevent the establishment of fertile grounds for terrorists to thrive in other nations. United States will still be fighting insurgent and separatists threats, both in the Middle East and Africa. These prospects, opportunities, and alliances of convenience as nations will complement each other. Developments in new communications technologies that make it easier for such associations to be organised and operated. Strong global interest will exist between USA and her partners and this will give rise to the new area of covert spying. The government would want to dominate the other global powers and associates. Business and nations will still be trying to steal each others secrets in a bid to have a competitive advantage in economic activities. Globalisation will create new vulnerabilities and this will create demands for self-protections, and elicit calls for information advantage. Other upcoming global powers will still be developing advanced defense technologies. China and other upcoming military powers like North and South Korea amongst other nation will have developed better military powers and capabilities. The government will still be finding it necessary to gather intelligence on this nation. It is worth noting that global forces will be destabilizing and threatening the value superpower position of the United States. The government will still share intelligence with other global powers. By the year 2030, we can project that the major area of cooperation amongst USA and her allies will be security. Advancement in lethal technologies will still be posing the biggest global threat. By then, the world might have won the war on the modern day type of terrorism but, another form of terror and threat will be perpetrated by terrorist ideologies. This will call for strong cooperation between nation, the USA will still keep a close in middle East. As we move on to the next decades, globalization will continue to spread peace and also promote conflicts and resentments between nations. Global political instabilities will need monitoring as well. The more strongly the United States economy will dominate each others and this in turn will create tunnel effect of changing expectations. This phenomenon will most likely be destabilizing if the if USA economy will disproportionately bigger than that of her associates. Dominance will extend to political influence and engagement of the United States all the world and also promote a permissive environment where globalization will flourish to bring more advancement in the area of human knowledge. Computer science and especially the area artificial intelligence will be sought out by nations. Nations will still develop more artificial intelligence. Globalization can be viewed as the Americanization of the world. Some societies will still have the backlash against globalization and will be expression through anti-Americanism, in addition to the broader opposition to Western lifestyles and economic values. There will be an increase in violent Anti-American terrorism as a result. The United States support for administrations with strong domestic oppositions make terrorism against her seem like a strategic reaction to power in the context of global civil war. This kind of violence will by people who carry values and have formed illegal transnational ties and allegiances. Though out the globe, the expression of violence and warfare will be reduced significantly. Global information systems will have made the world a safer place for conducting living as the use of the internet and a more advanced technology will lead to the combating of terror activities and sharing of criminal information seamlessly between intelligence organisations. Global partnerships to combat global challenges through the use of information technology will be achieved by sharing knowledge and best practices through the use of information technology specifically the internet. Information technology has enable the United States and the entire world to evolved into a more advanced global village where businesses can be easily conducted through the internet. Cheaper sources of labor can be accessed from one part of the world and used in another by the use of the internet. Global information technology initiatives have also reduced the cost of doing business with a large number of customers accessed by the use social media networking. Global competitions will be played in the scenario where all competitors have an equal opportunities. The USA will seek to remain competitive in a global environment where geographical and historical divisions are becoming increasingly irrelevant. Most decisions made the government will have to be made in such a way that not only national factors are taken into account but also international factors are also considered. Globalization has brought about the increased of outsourcing, offshoring, and supply-chaining that have significantly reduced the cost of doing business. Cheaper sources of factors of production such as capital and labour will be outsourced from countries that enjoy a surplus. Outsourcing production will lead to the substantial economic growth and development in countries such as India and China. In order for countries and business entities to keep up with globalization, they will have fully embraced information and technology. Global Information Technology initiative will have also enabled the establishment of employment opportunity in many remote parts of the world. People and organisations will no longer need to relocate from their country of birth or registration in search of work or education. They only need to have an a strong internet connection for them to work. Business opportunities in other countries will act as a source of employment as they can be accessed through the internet by use of online bidding of tenders. The enhanced internet trade will need to be watched over closely and so as it can be controlled and regulated. Globalization will affect the likelihood of war. The increased importance of knowledge-based economies and the fragmentation of production will be put in the context of an international economy that offers opportunities for both trade and foreign investment will reduce the gains from territorial conquest. This will be done by putting a limit to that which can be extracted by force and boosting the production of the product that are more economically promising. Finally, it is with no doubt that the intelligence community will encounter lots of changes in the coming decade. As discussed above this change is set to come with associated challenges. There is the need to for intelligence gathering agencies in the united State come make a projection of the world global trends and note that the coming decade will offer new concerns and challenges. Such a projection will ensure that the agencies are ready to face those years. Of much concern in the coming decade will be the advancement in the forms of lethal weaponry. The united states as the Global super has an absolute authority to ensure that the world remains the safe place for all. The government should enhance its intelligence capabilities. References ALDRICH, R. J. (2009). Beyond the vigilant state: Globalisation and intelligence. Review of International Studies, 35(4), 889-902. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0260210509990337 Dixon, T. (2005). The impact of information and communications technology on commercial real estate in the new economy. Journal of Property Investment & Finance, 23(6), 480-493. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/212985010?accountid=45049 Gray, P. (2006). PAST, PRESENT, AND FUTURE. Information Systems Management, 23(1), 90-93. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/214125905?accountid=45049 Kirshner, J. (2008). Globalization, american power, and international security. Political Science Quarterly, 123(3), 363-389. 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