Logic exercise hypothesis testing - Assignment Example

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This means that Al may be innocent as he claims. Bills third statement disregards all his other statements 1 and 2 as not being true,…
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LOGIC EXERCISE HYPOTHESIS TESTING Logic Exercise Hypothesis Testing The Poacher The third ment made by Al, “Hunting is a source of food in this part,” is true, therefore, his other two statement, 1 and 2 are true. This means that Al may be innocent as he claims. Bills third statement disregards all his other statements 1 and 2 as not being true, thus, on that basis; it is difficult to say whether Bill is innocent or guilty. According to Charles’ statement 3, which is true given the fact that, in that area, people depend on game for food. It can be argued that his second statement“Doug is a poacher” is not true. His first statement that he is not a poacher may be true. Doug disregards Al’s statements as not true and argues that at least one of Charles’ statements is true, further he claims that he does not like to eat game. It is clear that, statements 2 and 3 made by Al are true; Bill’s third statement is the only true statement, and statements 1, 2 made by Charles are also true. Doug also makes two true statements, 2 and 3. Therefore, it can be said that, Bill is the poacher, based on the fact that a guilty party makes only one true statement (Poletiek, 2001), is the guilty one.
Property Destruction
The Butcher’s first statement that he was not there is entirely false, so is his second and third statements, as well. Given that the Butcher’s first statement is false and the Baker first statement claims to agree with it, it means that, his statement is not also true. The Candle stick maker makes at least two true statements, 1 and 2. The Cobbler’s third statement is not true since it contradicts his first statement. He says that he agree with the bakers third statement, which is in agreement with the Butcher’s second statement, which claims that the Cobbler did it. All of the Blacksmith’s statements are true; therefore, he is the only suspect that makes no false statement.
Poletiek, F. H. (2001). Hypothesis Testing Behavior. East Sussex: Psychology Press. Read More
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