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International Management program(dissertation proposal ) - Essay Example

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(1991) defines that demand is equal to total household expenditure and investment in housing. From the perspective of neo-classical consumer theory, housing demand takes into consideration some assumptions on the…
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International Management program(dissertation proposal )
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Topic: International Management program (dissertation proposal) Property investment in Beijing & Shanghai The theory of housing demand, as reviewed by Megbolugbe et al. (1991) defines that demand is equal to total household expenditure and investment in housing. From the perspective of neo-classical consumer theory, housing demand takes into consideration some assumptions on the behaviour of the consumer, the housing product and the housing market. It states that market is competitive; the consumer wants utility, which is the deciding criterion although income and price are the constraints. According to the neo-classical consumer theory, the housing is a homogenous product. Market is in perfect equilibrium; it is tax-free and asset and capital markets are perfect. This framework of consumer behaviour requires some changes in the neo-classical consumer theory to include some characteristics of property market like consumer tastes, viewpoints, choices that create the scenario for an imperfect, not-competitive theory of property market.
In the context of what we have read about the neo-classical theory of demand, it would be interesting to test the theory on emerging countries like China, Malaysia, and Singapore. Two major cities of China – Beijing and Shanghai are recuperating from the after-effects of recession worldwide. It would be interesting to confirm the validity of the neo-classical theory of consumer demand and supply of land, which is limited and the role of the government in stabilising the property market. What would be the housing demand model, the determinants of housing demand and practical scenario due to the limited land availability, as the cities are expanding seamlessly
Research Question:
Investigating the property market of Shanghai and Beijing in the wake of global economic crisis hit in the early 2009.
What will be the advantages of investing in these two Chinese cities?
What are the reasons of the slowdown in the growth of property sector?
How will China cope up with the rise in demand for all types of property?
Behaviour of Beijing and Shanghai property market; how has the Beijing Olympics 2008 have impacted the property market? What is the reaction of China government policy shift in allowing foreigners to buy house of their choice.
Discussion
The Shanghai property market, according to Colliers International (2008), is passing through a phase of cooling down. Investors have changed their preferences by focusing on the leasing market. Over supply has increased the vacancy rate. In this context, it is interesting to study the house price Basic DiPasquale-Wheaton model, its different stages by using simplified or reduced form function from the demand and supply equation.
Leung & Wang (2007) have projected the China housing market in the DiPasquale Wheaton model, showing analysis of different stages of housing market consequently. Short term and long term policy effects and recommendations will be discussed.
The role played by the government monetary policy and its interaction with asset price will be discussed besides the role of foreign direct investment in the property market of China, the macroeconomic effects of FDI on China.
Research Methods
Research methods will include both quantitative and qualitative aspects, as sufficient empirical data is available on China property market. Data will be collected from property developers, market research online resources, Asia property market resources, and other sources to reach meaningful conclusions. More research will be conducted to find out academics that have made empirical researches on property markets of developing countries in general and China-specific research to collect important data from reliable sources like interviews and questionnaire. Extensive literature review will be carried out on the mechanisms of demand and supply and its impact on prices. Conclusions will be derived after testing the theory of demand and supply on the ground of reality.
References:
Asia Pulse. Beijing Property - Foreign buyer restrictions lifted. [Online] (2009) Available from: http://www.property-report.com/property-news-top-stories.php?id=2239&date=250109 [Accessed 19 October 2009].
Beijing real estate guide property report [Online] (2009) Available from: http://www.property-report.com/china-beijing.php?tab=5 [Accessed 19 October 2009].
Bynoe, Denny L, Archibald, X., Howard, S. (2008) An ARDL model of the
demand for housing in Barbados’, Business, Finance & Economics in Emerging Economies. [Online]. 3(1). Available from: http://www.centralbank.org.bb/WEBCBB.nsf/vwPublications/5DF0AB94185ED823042575E7006A14A9/$FILE/An%20ARDL%20Model%20of%20the%20Demand%20for%20Housing%20in%20Barbados.pdf [Accessed 19 October 2009].
China country info: property market overview. Property Report Asia. [Online] (2009) Available from: http://www.property-report.com/china-property-market.php?tab=5 [Accessed 19 October 2009].
Leung, C. and Wang, W. (2007) ‘An examination of the Chinese housing
market through the lens of the DiPasquale-Wheaton Model: a graphical attempt’, International Real Estate Review. [Online]. 10(2): 131-165. Available from: http://www.umac.mo/fba/irer/papers/past/vol10n2_pdf/07Leung%20and%20Wang%20_131-165.pdf [Accessed 19 October 2009].
Liang, Q. and Cao, H. ‘The impact of monetary policy on property prices: Evidence from China (First Draft)’ [Online]. Available from: http://www.cm.hit-u.ac.jp/~jae/papers/liang_cao.pdf [Accessed 19 October 2009].
Peng, W. Tam, D. Yiu, M. (2007) ‘The property market and the macro-economy of
the mainland: a cross region study’, HKIMR Working Paper No.5/March 2007. [Online]. Available from: http://www.hkimr.org/cms/upload/publication_app/pub_full_0_2_147_HKIMR_No5_BW.pdf [Accessed 19 October 2009]. Read More
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