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Voting Right - Essay Example

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Insert name Tutor Course Date The Path to 270: analysis The remaining time to 2012 presidential elections in the United States is less than a year. In view of this, there has been a remarkable increase in the competitiveness of the ideologies, with the current economic challenges and a substantially strengthening of the Republican electoral machine potentially reducing the influence of Democratic candidate, President Obama, who is already ahead of the race courtesy of his incumbency…
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Download file to see previous pages The main issues which define the direction of the poll are thus largely clear. Nonetheless, on the one hand, it is not clear whether the increasing non-white population, the younger generation, experts, unmarried persons, and secular population segments that voted Obama, almost to a man in 2008, which enabled him to secure a victory, will stick by him come next year, in order to secure him a second term (Teixeira and Halpin 2-6). On the other hand, the likelihood of the rival Republicans concentrating their campaign on poor economic situation in the country might hurt Obama’s reelection campaign. Also significant is the campaigns by conservatives, who are critical of the Obama administration; they might pull a surprise to the incumbent candidate. Teixeira and Halpin (1-14) note that the outcome of the poll notwithstanding, it is probable that American policies will remain immensely polarized for many years, even after the forthcoming elections end. The political volatility witnessed in the past five years indicates that the fundamental issues influencing the American political debates, which include the protection of the society by the government, the weighing of social and economic issues such as taxation rates and social welfare programs, remain contentious. In view the financial meltdown and other economic problems, which take the toll on Americans, have deeply infiltrated the electoral debates. This implies that the previous presidential poll marked just the likelihood for a fresh quest for change in American policies as opposed to the preservation of the status quo. Obama’s latest public approvals at 46%, and brighter economic prospects in a number of states in the country might result in a tough duel reminiscent of the 2000 elections. Virginia According to Teixeira and Halpin (53-56), in 2008, Virginia vote was bagged by Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama by a margin of more than six percent. In the run up to the poll, analysts considered this an Obama state, or otherwise believed to be as a blue state in the southern region. Previously, the state was viewed as composed of swing vote that both key contenders camped in during the 2008 campaigns. The financial crisis, the shifting demographics such as the population rises in thickly populated northern region gave Democrats the advantage. The white liberals in the region undeniably resulted in substantial influx of voters into the Democratic Party’s basket. Florida The strongest Republican influence in Florida originates from the upper region, which is home to about 25 percent of the entire vote in the state. Teixeira and Halpin (46-50) indicate that, although, his area has registered a remarkable increase in population, with figures of hitting 19 percent increase during the last decade, the statistics are inferior to the south. In the region, Republicans emerged as winners by 14 percentage points, nonetheless, the outcome translated into a seven-point increase for the Democrats within four years. And in the area’s sprawling metro region referred to as the Jacksonville, the Democratic swing vote increased by 11 percentage points in ...Download file to see next pagesRead More
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