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Forecast for Population in 2020 - Essay Example

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Scenario 1: It is year 2020 and China’s working population under 65 years of age has undergone a significant decline in the last decade whereas the population in China over 65 years of age has become 1.5 times what it was a decade ago. If China’s age is compared with China’s economy, the former is found to grow twice as fast as the later. This has come as a calamity to the people of China because retired people in China are not provided with sufficient health and care benefits and pensions to live a happy and satisfied life. Nevertheless, this effect is being counter-balanced by the increase of awareness and globalization that has allowed people to make informed decisions and choose best ways for themselves. The drop in young population is consistent with the increased urbanization that has occurred in most of the developing countries since 2010. Up to 70 per cent of the world’s population in the developing countries has urbanized in the last decade, thus showing a 20 per cent increase in the urbanization since 2010. The increase in elder share has raised the median age of many countries including US. The median age of Western Europe has reached 45. From 2010 to 2010, Americans between 25 and 64 years of age have increased in number by 12 million, of which,8 million accounts for people between 55 and 64 years of age. ...
Owing to the immense shortage of Chinese girls, Chinese bachelors are left with little choice but to either remain single throughout their life, or else marry non-Chinese

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brides. Almost 30 per cent of Chinese boys have got married to non-Chinese girls between 2015 and 2020. Their elders do not have a rosy view about bringing non-native brides into their families, and the elder population has conventionally had at harsh terms with the young population. As a result of this, number of divorces has climbed up to dangerous level. In the year 2019, 55 per cent of the mixed culture marriages in China culminated into divorce. Educationalists, scientists and common people mutually hold the consensus that the immense shortage of young female population in China should be attributed to the one-child policy that has been in place in China for quite a lot of decades in the past. In an attempt to have their future secured, parents have been aborting the daughters before their birth so that the one child they would have would be boy who would take care of them in the old age. Analysis: Of the two scenarios discussed above, scenario 1 is more likely to occur because the statistics mentioned therein are quite consistent with what past research says. As compared to scenario 1, scenario 2 puts forth a slightly exaggerated account of the consequences of one-child policy in China. According to (Fishman 2), a threefold increase in the number of people over 65 years of age in China is expected to occur by the year 2050. Thus, it makes sense to estimate the number of 65 plus people as 1.5 times that of the number in 2010. Also, the UN Population Fund expects 80 per cent of the population of developing countries to have urbanized by the year 2030 (Fishman 5), thus, legitimizing the
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Summary

25th June 2011. Forecasts for population in 2020 Introduction: Population was one of the biggest problems of the world few decades ago. In an attempt to control the growing population, many countries of the world formulated population controlling policies…
Forecast for Population in 2020
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