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Summary
Economic activities are largely influenced by economic factors such “the economy and economic growth, government policies and consumers” (Economist, p. 5). These factors interact to determine business prospects for investment decisions. An informed investor will particularly…
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QUESTIONS Introduction Economic activities are largely influenced by economic factors such “the economy and economic growth, government policies and consumers” (Economist, p. 5). These factors interact to determine business prospects for investment decisions. An informed investor will particularly compare macroeconomic factors in different economies before making an international investment decision. This report seeks to investigate the relationship between interest rates and stock prices in different countries. The report will apply statistical tools to establish relationships for investment decision making.
Method
The report is based on secondary data collected from different countries for the years 2005 and 2006.
Results
The mean and standard deviation for percentage change in market indices and interest rates are summarized below,
Market indices
Interest rates
Mean
30.48
97.19
Standard deviation
14.56
251.75
The means indicate average values while standard deviation measures dispersion.
A test of hypothesis indicates that the percentage changes in market indices and interest rates were significant.
A scatter plot suggests existence of a negative linear relationship between changes in market index and interest rates with existence of an outlier. Regression analysis however indicates a poor relationship between the variable with a low R squared value of 0.268, which means that the model only explains only 26.8 percent of the data. The regression coefficient is -0.0299 with a p value of 0.0277. The low p value shows that the regression coefficient is significant.
Conclusion and recommendation
An increase in interest rates in a foreign country would therefore lead to a decrease in value of foreign profits due to low market index. The report recommends that national interest rates be considered when making global investment decisions. This is because a significant relationship exists between interest rates and market indices.
Works cited
The Economist. Guide to Economic Indicators: Making Sense of Economics. New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, 2011. Print Read More
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