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Economic Indicator Forecast - Essay Example

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Several economic indicators are essential for any forecast, however only the six below will be discussed here. Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) According to the I.M.F the country’s G.D.P will remain steady in the remaining quarter at 3.6% while the Office of economic analysis…
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Economic Indicator Forecast
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Economic Indicator Forecast

Download file to see previous pages... State of Oregon projects that GDP will fall by 2.6% a rate that is not alarming in the short run given the resilience the economy has shown. Unemployment rate: Projections for unemployment (% of the labor force) are that the rate will be 5.2%. This is higher than the 4.7 % given by the Office of economic analysis (State of Oregon). The forecast is based on the fact that productivity growth rate has remained weak since 2004 GDP Deflator. IMF projects the figures for this indicator to be 2.0%. This is same as the figure given by the office of economic analysis Current account balance (% of GDP) IMF says that current account balance will decrease by 6.1% while the Office of economic analysis (State of Oregon) give their forecast as 5.0% this is attributed to the performance of the import market that will be adversely affected by the upward moving interest rates. Oil prices. Due to geopolitical factors namely volatility in the Middle East, and increasing demand especially in emerging markets, oil prices are set to remain high with both IMF and office of economic analysis agreeing on their projections that prices for the next quarter will be in the upward of $54 per barrel. Consumer price index (CPI). According to IMF, CPI will be 2.4% while the Office of economic analysis (State of Oregon) projects a 2.6% change. The rising cost of energy is among the factors that will influence this trend ...Download file to see next pagesRead More
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