International Finance International Investing Project - Research Paper Example

 This project allows you to learn more about international investing and about firms that compete in the global arena. You will be asked to create a stock portfolio of at least two U.S.-based multinational corporations (MNCs) and two foreign stocks. You will monitor the performance of your portfolio over the school term and ultimately will attempt to explain why your portfolio performed well or poorly relative to the portfolios created by other students in your class. The explanations will offer insight on what is driving the valuations of the U.S.-based MNCs and the foreign stocks over time. Select two stocks of U.S.-based MNCs that you want to include in your portfolio. If you want to review a list of possible stocks or do not know the ticker symbol of the stocks you want to invest in, go to the website http://biz.yahoo.com/i/, which lists stocks alphabetically, or to http://biz.yahoo.com/p/, which lists stocks by sectors or industries. Make sure that your firms conduct a substantial amount of international business. Next, select two foreign stocks that are traded on U.S. stock exchanges and are not from the same foreign country. Many foreign stocks are traded on U.S. stock exchanges as American depository receipts (ADRs), which are certificates that represent ownership of foreign stock. ADRs are denominated in dollars, but reflect the value of a foreign stock, so an increase in the value of the foreign currency can have a favorable effect on the ADR's value. To review a list of ADRs in which you may invest, go to www.adr.com and click on ADR Universe. Click on any industry listed to see a list of foreign companies within that industry that offer ADRs and the country where each foreign company is based. You should select ADRs of firms that are based in any of the countries shown on the website http://finance.yahoo.com/intlindices . Click on any company listed to review background information, including a description of its business and its stock price trend over the last year. It is assumed that you will invest $10,000 in each stock that you purchase. List your portfolio in the following format: U.S.-BASED MNCs NAME OF FIRM TICKER SYMBOL AMOUNT OF YOUR INVESTMENT PRICE PER SHARE AT WHICH YOU PURCHASED THE STOCK American Electric Power company AEP $10,000 $38.7 Baker Hughes Incorporated BHI $10,000 $52.69 FOREIGN STOCKS (ADRs) NAME OF FIRM TICKER SYMBOL COUNTRY WHERE FIRM IS BASED AMOUNT OF YOUR INVESTMENT PRICE PER SHARE OF ADR AT WHICH YOU PURCHASED THE STOCK China Telecom corporation CHA China $10,000 $60 Sony Corporation SNE Japan $10,000 $19.8 You can easily monitor your portfolio using various Internet tools. If you do not already use a specific website for this purpose, go to http://finance.yahoo.com/?u and register for free. Follow the instructions, and in a few minutes you can create your own portfolio tracking system. This system not only updates the values of your stocks, but also provides charts and recent news and other information on the stocks in your portfolio. Evaluation At the end of each month-October 31, November 30 and December 31 during the fall 2011 semester [due date of Project I-November 14, 2011; Project II-December 10, 2011 and Project III-January 02, 2012 and Final Project Presentation January 05, 2012], you should evaluate the performance and behavior of your stocks. 1. a. Determine the percentage increase or decrease in each of your stocks over the period of your investment and provide that percentage in a table like the one below. In addition, offer the primary reason for this change in the stock price based on news about that stock or your own intuition. To review the recent news about each of your stocks, click on http://finance.yahoo.com/?u and insert the ticker symbol for each firm. Recent news is provided at the bottom of the screen. NAME OF FIRM PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN STOCK PRICE PRIMARY REASON AEP 2.07% BHI 3.13% CHA 1.2% SNE -9.19% Portfolio (average) -0.70% Ticker Opening Price Closing Price Change Change % AEP 38.7 39.5 0.8 2.07% BHI 52.69 54.34 1.65 3.13% CHA 60 60.72 0.72 1.20% SNE 19.8 17.98 -1.82 -9.19% Average -0.70% b. How does your portfolio's performance compare to the portfolios of some other students? (Your professor may survey the class on their performances so that you can see how your performance differs from those of other students.) Why do you think your performance was relatively high or low compared to other students' performances? Was it because of the markets where your firms do their business or because of firm-specific conditions? 2. Determine whether the performance of each of your U.S.-based MNCs is driven by the U.S. market. Go to the site http://finance.yahoo.com/?u and insert the symbol for your stock. Once the quote is provided, click on Chart. Click on the box marked S&P (which represents the S&P 500 Index). Then, click on Compare and assess the relationship between the U.S. market index movements and the stock's price movements. Explain whether the stock's price movements appear to be driven by U.S. market conditions. Repeat this task for each U.S.-based MNC in which you invested. Relationship between AEP and S&P 500 Relationship between BHI and S&P 500 3. a. Determine whether the performance of each of your foreign stocks is driven by the corresponding market where the firm is based. First, go to the site http://finance.yahoo.com/intlindices?u and look up the symbol for the country index of concern. For example, Brazil's index is ^BVSP. Next, go to the site http://finance.yahoo.com/?u and insert the symbol for your stock. Click on Chart; at the bottom of the chart, insert the corresponding market index symbol (make sure you include the ^ if it is part of the index symbol) in the box. Then, click on Compare and assess the relationship between the market index movements and the stock's price movements. Explain whether the stock's price movements appear to be driven by the local market conditions. Repeat this exercise for each foreign stock in which you invested. b. Determine whether your foreign stock's performance is driven by the U.S. market (using the S&P 500 as a market proxy). Erase the symbol you typed into the box below the chart, and click on S&P just to the right. Relationship between SNE, S&P 500 and NIKKEI Relationship between CHA, S&P 500 and Hang Seng c. Determine whether your foreign stock prices are highly correlated. Repeat the process described above, except insert the symbol representing one of the foreign stocks you own in the box below the chart. Relationship between SNE and CHA 4. a. Review annual reports and news about each of your U.S.-based MNCs to determine where it does most of its business and the foreign currency to which it is most exposed. Determine whether your U.S.-based MNC’s stock performance is influenced by the exchange rate movements of the foreign currency (against the U.S. dollar) to which it is most exposed. Go to www.oanda.com and click on FX-History. You can convert the foreign currency to which the MNC is highly exposed to U.S. dollars and determine the exchange rate movements over the period in which you invested in the stock. Provide your assessment of the relationship between the currency's exchange rate movements and the performance of the stock over the investment period. Attempt to explain the relationship that you just found. b. Repeat the steps in 4a for each U.S.-based MNC in which you invested. 5. a. Determine whether the stock performance of each of your foreign firms is influenced by the exchange rate movements of the firm's local currency against the U.S. dollar. You can obtain this information from www.oanda.com. You can convert the foreign currency of concern to U.S. dollars and determine the exchange rate movements over the period in which you invested in the stock. Provide your assessment of the relationship between the currency's exchange rate movements and the performance of the stock over the investment period. Attempt to explain the relationship that you just found. b. Repeat the steps in 5a for each of the foreign stocks in which you invested. Relationship between US$/CNY and US$/JP¥ References China Telecom Corp Ltd. (2011). Retrieved from http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=1y&s=CHA&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=BHI&c=%5EGSPC Read More