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Regression Analysis - Assignment Example

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This assignment "Regression Analysis" presents an unemployment rate that is not linearly related to cyclical unemployment since the estimates of the unemployment rate are not equal to or closer to the actual values of the unemployment rate…
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Regression Analysis
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Regression Analysis Question UR 248615375NRU 92522993 + 0.854805 A) What percentage of the variance in UR does this regression explain? ANOVA   Df SS MS F Significance F Regression 1 89.83256073 89.83256073 105.0913 9.392E-13 Residual 40 34.19220117 0.854805029 Total 41 124.0247619       From the above table, 89.83256073 represent the sum of squares explained by the regression and 124.0247619 represent the total. Thus, 89.83256073/124.0247619 or 72.43% of variance is explained by the model. B) Test the null hypothesis that β0 = 1 at the 95% level of significance. Do you reject this hypothesis? Explain why or why not. How about at the 99% level of significance? Solution:   Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 99.0% Upper 99.0% Intercept -1.92523 0.992885 -1.93903 0.059575 -3.93193 0.081465 -4.61045 0.759987 NRU 1.248615 0.121799 10.2514 9.39E-13 1.00245 1.494781 0.919214 1.578017 For Ho, Bo=1 at 95% level of significance, we do reject the null hypothesis since 2.9462> 1.6848, we accept the alternative hypothesis. Ho: Bo=1, Ha: Bo≠1 t = (Bo-1)/ std error of Bo =(-1.92522993-1)/ 0.992885 =-2.9462. Thus, TINV(0.05,39)= 1.6848 At 99% level of significance, we do not reject Ho since 2.9462>2.4258, we accept the alternative hypothesis. TINV(0.01,39)= 2.4258 C) Test the null hypothesis that β1 = 1.5 at the 95% level of significance. Do you reject this hypothesis? Explain why or why not. How about at the 99% level of significance? Solution: TINV(0.05,39)= 1.6848 Ho: B1=1.5, Ha: B1≠1.5 At 95% level of significance, t= (B1-1.5)/ std error of B1 = (1.248615 - 1) / 0.121799 = 2.041191 Therefore, we reject the null hypothesis since 2.041191< 1.6848. TINV(0.01,39)= 2.4258 For 99% significance level, we reject the null hypothesis since 2.041191 Read More
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