Study of Risk and Perceptions of Crime/Danger - Essay Example

Download file to see previous pages... Unlike the past 45 years, the most noteworthy and repeatedly discussed crime drift for the 2000s has been the decrease in the reported crime rate all over America. Data showed that during 2009, the nationwide crime percentage was at a ‘25 year low’. The general crime rate for that year dropped 7 percent from 2008. Additionally, the rate of aggressive crime dropped 3.2 percent, which is the seventh successive yearly drop. Killings reduced by 5.1 percent during 2008 and arrived at the lowest rate since 1997. All over the United States, property offences and violent crime, brought into the notice of police force, dropped 9 percent during 2009 with respect to the previous year. This marked the 7th successive year when property as well as aggressive crime has decreased in the U.S. There are several aspects that drive existing crime tendencies even though there is no perfect justification as to why the crime rate has lessened so abruptly during the past couple of years or why it started to rise considerably during the 1990s. A number of criminologists argue that significant variable, for the most part, is demographics. The application of ‘crime trend study’, in addition to other quantitative representations and qualitative analyses, to foresee the potential of crime has been utilized by a number of criminologists, creative thinkers and criminal justice legislators as a technique to predict future crime trends, to some extent so that the extent as well as impact of crime can be narrowed and even stopped during the years approaching. Nonetheless, at present there is a need of combined awareness of the research and institutes that have commenced crime estimating. The objective of this research is to contribute in dealing with this gap by offering some preliminary experimental investigation into the literature, study, and systematic tools, in addition to the people and institutes that have created estimates of crime for the 21st century. Crime predictions can be “developed through both qualitative methods” (Lab, p. 102, 2010). Qualitative methods to forecasting crime, for instance, environmental checking and scenario writing, are mainly helpful in classifying the potential nature of criminal action. Demographic aspects have been mentioned as the ‘strongest determinants’ of crime rates and therefore have been vital to crime perceptions. The most important demographic variable seems to be the extent of the male inhabitants. A number of researchers have proved that crime rates are as well directly tied to the strong point of the financial system; in the time of financial slumps, property crime percentage are apt to rise quickly, while in more financially positive phases, they have a trend to drop. Based mainly on demographic as well as macro-economic drifts, there seems to be consent between forecasts for the United States, that until the year 2020, the general crime rate is projected to equal the standard crime rate during the last 15 to 20 years. This indicates that there will be a small to moderate yearly raise in the general crime rate in United States, starting during the early period of the 21st century. Related patterns must be anticipated within other developed nations. Most of the major alterations during the few subsequent decades will not be in the extent of crime, but instead, in the nature of crime. Property crime will carry on aiming substantial consumer commodities. Nonetheless, theft will also increasingly aim intangible property, for ...Download file to see next pagesRead More