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While the Budget factored in a decline in Australias terms of trade, the fall in global commodity prices over recent months has been larger than anticipated - Essay Example

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It contributed in raising the level of real income which in turn stabilized the macroeconomic factors and reduced the persisting rate of inflation in the economy. The conjuncture…
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While the Budget factored in a decline in Australias terms of trade, the fall in global commodity prices over recent months has been larger than anticipated
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While the Budget factored in a decline in Australias terms of trade, the fall in global commodity prices over recent months has been larger than anticipated

Download file to see previous pages... A rise in this economic measure will enable Australia to buy more imports for fewer amounts of exports which in turn will increase the domestic real income. The volatility in terms of trade will induce volatility in the expenditures of the consumers as well as investment. Throughout history, Australia has been subjected to declining as well as volatile terms of trade. The situation changed after 1986. Since this year the country has been subjected to less volatile terms of trade while it is slightly upward rising trend. The terms of trade of the country has been positively correlated with economic growth of the globe. When the economic growth was strong, the terms of trade rose while the situation was just the opposite when the economic growth was slow. In the year 2000, the terms of trade of the country increased in spite of slowing down of the world economy.
There are two key components on the terms of trade of the country namely the global prices of the exports and imports of the country and the goods basket of the exports and imports. The country has the ability to affect the global prices the developments within the country also have the potential to influence the terms of trade. An increase in the global prices of coal compared with ICT goods will contribute in raising the terms of trade as the country is net exporter of coal and importer of ICT goods. There has been a wide positive correlation between the terms of trade and the exchange rate prevailing over that period. The nominal or the real exchange rate has fallen since the financial crisis of mid 1998. The import prices tend to be affected by the regional influences but the export prices are influenced by world prices. In the short run the prices of imports floored more swiftly than the export prices. The exchange rate got boosted. The uneven growth in productivity in tradable or in non-tradable goods sector contributed to ...Download file to see next pagesRead More
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