Chaos, Complexity, and Deterrence by Vicente Valle - Assignment Example

A  non-linear system provides a contradiction in the proportionality of the output in the context of the input. Other differentiating characteristics include the system being deterministic. This denotes the notion that chaotic behaviour is random. 2. How does the author describe complexity in the explanation of chaos theory?Complexities are the factors that make a situation or event inexplicable. In this context, the author describes complexity as the inability to equate the real cause of any chaotic behaviour in any situation.

In addition, the chaos theory contains complex systems that contain numerous independent elements that continually interact with spontaneous organization and reorganization over time into elaborate structures. 3. Explain how meteorology has influenced the development of chaos theory.Meteorological predictions provide a foundation for determining the consequences as a result of various actions that affect the environment. In this context, predictions in the chaos theory attempt in giving a detailed report into the expected repercussions as a result of chaotic behaviour.

Also, they help in reducing fatalities and the prevention of chaotic behaviour. 4. Illustrate using the Cold War as an example and explanation of chaos theory and deterrence.During the Cold war, deterrence was quite successful despite the fact that there were one or two hitches focused towards preventing the war. Historically, however, deterrence seemed to work much less due to the fact that the cold war, with its bipolar simplicity and strong command on both sides. The threat of mutual, nuclear annihilation represents an extreme case of deterrence.

Certainly, deterrence has broken down more often since the end of the Cold War than during it. Based on the case theory we can assume that the international system to be a state of self-organizing critically, then we can consider that the Cold war, which was brought about by a breakdown in deterrence, is an instance in which at least parts of the system spill into chaos. 5. The article provides an example of a similar formula of deterrence involving nations. Using the formula provided, provide an explanation of the variables involved in one of two examples: A school’s deterrence plan for an active shooter, or a community’s plan to deter gang violence.

Be sure to identify control parameters, and your plan to influence control parameters.The system displays both chaotic and non-chaotic depending on the control parameters used. In this equation, X is the population, K (the control parameter) is the rate of population. It is the initial time of chaos and reaction time, and t+1 is the subsequent period. The element (1-X) in the equation to establish 6. Using your answer from question five, explain in the terms of the formula, the ability of the opposition to create chaos counter to the wish of controlling authorities.

Since we assume that the capability of one action is based in part of the past capability of the potential adversary. The element of (1-x) in the above equation establishes a practical limit of the reaction to the incident. When the control is less than three, this system converges towards an equilibrium point. At higher levels of K, this system will display either chaotic or non-chaotic behaviour.