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Assignmwnt 1 - Assignment Example

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The Priority Intelligence Requirement for this report is to answer the question; Will Iran honour its promise to discontinue the production of nuclear weapons or will they go ahead with their plans? Determining the answer to this question is crucial since it will determine how…
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Assignmwnt 1
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Download file to see previous pages This can only be possible by analysing the following factors:-
The economic sanctions placed on Iran have been meant to dissuade the country from manufacturing weapons of mass destruction (WMD), however, it is important to analyse whether the economic sanctions should be lifted or be left in place.
There have been concerns on the best way for the Unites States and Israel to react to Iran’s nuclear activities. Even as the debate rages, the United States has tightened its economic sanctions on Iran and the European Union is now boycotting the country oil. Although negotiations are still ongoing and Iran has agreed to put its nuclear plans on hold, the crisis is not yet over. The promise to put the plans on hold should not be an indication that the Middle East peace is guaranteed (Rennack 5).
By looking at the current state, there are several ways that the country’s nuclear program can end. To begin with, diplomacy together with harder economic sanctions could persuade Iran to drop its plan of a nuclear program. Historically, this is not likely to happen since past events have showed that a country that is intent on getting nuclear weapons is not likely to be discouraged from doing so. In essence, punishing a nation through economic impediments does very little in delaying its nuclear program. A case in point in North Korea, which managed to build its nuclear weapons despite numerous sanctions as well as the UN Security Council resolutions. If Tehran feels like its security is dependent on acquiring nuclear weapons, there is less likelihood that embargoes will change their mind. In reality, introducing more sanctions may make them feel even more defenceless, giving the country an even greater reason to rely on the protection of the definitive deterrent (Rennack 10).
The other possible outcome is where Iran does not in actuality test a nuclear weapon but ...Download file to see next pagesRead More
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